Important news
The downgrade of conflicts in the Middle East. As the market's concerns about the tension of the Middle East, the market's hotspots have shifted. Investors are currently concerned about the US economic reports and the Fed's monetary policy.
According to the Statistics Bureau of the US Department of Commerce, as a barometer in the corporate expenditure plan, the orders of non -defense durable products that deduct aircraft in March increased by 0.2%month -on -month, in line with economist expectations.In February, the data was repaired, showing that the orders of core durable products increased by 0.4%month -on -month, and the previous value increased by 0.7%.Core durable products in March increased by 0.6%year -on -year.In March, the orders of durable products increased by 2.6%, and the data in February was repaired to an increase of 0.7%.Since the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike, the cost of production expenditure in US companies has increased. Although the orders for durable products in March have grown moderately, the data in February was repaired.Whether the five US core PCE data has been reduced, this will also provide evidence for whether this year can be achieved.
Pay attention to data on this trading day
20:30 to the number of unemployed golds in the United States from early April 20th
20:30 In the first quarter of the United States, the initial value of the actual GDP annualized season in the first quarter of the United States
20:30 The initial value of the actual personal consumption expenditure in the first quarter of the United States in the first quarter
20:30 In the first quarter of the United States core PCE price index, the initial value of the annualized season rate
22:00 March, the monthly rate of the contracting sales index in the United States ()
Variety analysis:
Gold: The tension in the Middle East eased, which stimulated the departure of the original risk shelter. The spot gold entered the large callback after this week. In the short term, it entered the sideways to finish, and the market was waiting for new hotspots.At present, when the situation in the Middle East does not expand and the Russian -Ukraine conflict is not upgraded, investors will pay attention to the announcement of future US economic data and expectations for Fed's monetary policy.Reducing, this will lead to the failure of the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year, or there is still the possibility of restarting interest rates.
In short, the short -term hedging has been resolved to a certain extent, but in the long run, the U.S. inflation is high, geographical conflicts have continued, and global economic growth has been slow. In particular, the recent Asian countries have been short.As a high -quality hedge asset, there are still strong multi -risk shelter buying, which should not be empty for a long time.
Technical aspect:
The spot golden cycle level has ended the strong bulls in the early stage. This week, the market has successively broke through the large -cycle -level multi -headed trend line.It will enter the shock and finishing; the short -term market has entered the short market, and the hourly map moving average has become a short arranged.During the day's spot gold pressure 2322-2333-2350; below supports 2312-2306-2293.
Gold Futures Popular Operation
CMX gold futures main contract supports 2324-2320-2306.The operation is waiting for the market to return to the support line. There is obviously the K-line reversal form appears and there is a corresponding cooperation in the transaction volume to get involved in multiple orders. The stop loss is below the lowest price of the previous K line, and the target above the target looks at 2348-2364.
Gold Futures short operation
CMX gold futures main contract above pressure 2336-2348-2364.The operation is waiting for the market to rebound to the pressure line with obvious K-line reversal forms and the transaction volume can be involved in the empty order. The stop loss is above the highest price of the previous K line, and the target below looks at 2320-2306.
